← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6176158
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: FC Bayern München O/U 0.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 96.3%, up 1.1pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.
Implied probability96.3%
Bid / ask / mid95.8¢ / 96.4¢ / 96.1¢
Spread0.6¢ (0.6%)
Change 24h+1.05pt
Change 7d+28.05pt
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 56/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 70% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$52
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$11,140 / $7,750
Imbalance70% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score56.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 66 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.68
RSI (14, hourly)66.0
Realized vol 7d3.82pt
Change 1h+0.40pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 1h.
Time to resolve0d 1h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.