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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6176161

Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Leeds United FC O/U 0.5

67.5% implied · bid 66.0¢ · ask 69.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 72.0%, down 4.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability72.0%
Bid / ask / mid66.0¢ / 69.0¢ / 67.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (4.4%)
Change 24h-4.00pt
Change 7d+18.50pt
Longshot tax+5% historically (65-80¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 39/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 28% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$536
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,313 / $3,736
Imbalance28% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score38.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 35 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.43
RSI (14, hourly)34.8
Realized vol 7d2.23pt
Change 1h-5.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 65-80¢ bucket has returned +5% per $1, historically.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.