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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6176180

Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5

40.0% implied · bid 39.0¢ · ask 41.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 48.0%, down 29.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability48.0%
Bid / ask / mid39.0¢ / 41.0¢ / 40.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (5.0%)
Change 24h-29.00pt
Change 7d-4.50pt
Longshot tax-9% historically (35-50¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 12% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$13,902
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,984 / $934
Imbalance12% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score42.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 9 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.87
RSI (14, hourly)8.6
Realized vol 7d2.92pt
Change 1h-29.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 35-50¢ bucket has returned -9% per $1, historically.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.