← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6179120

Will Málaga CF win on 2026-11-07?

63.5% implied · bid 63.0¢ · ask 64.0¢

☆ Log in to track ☆ Log in to set an alert

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 65.0%, up 21.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability65.0%

Bid / ask / mid63.0¢ / 64.0¢ / 63.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.6%)

Change 24h+21.50pt

Change 7d+21.50pt

Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 21% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$103,426

Volume qualityPro

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$62,761 / $43,079

Imbalance21% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score95.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 83 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 9.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean9.54

RSI (14, hourly)83.1

Realized vol 7d1.80pt

Change 1h+18.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Rules riskmedium (50)

Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.

DeadlineNot published.

Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.