← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6181015

Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 1.5

72.5% implied · bid 72.0¢ · ask 73.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 83.0%, down 6.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability83.0%

Bid / ask / mid72.0¢ / 73.0¢ / 72.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.4%)

Change 24h-6.50pt

Change 7d-5.50pt

Longshot tax+7% historically (80-90¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 76/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 23% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$712

Volume qualityPro

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$30,541 / $31,657

Imbalance23% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score76.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 15 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 4.7σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean4.71

RSI (14, hourly)15.0

Realized vol 7d0.68pt

Change 1h-8.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Rules riskmedium (50)

Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 80-90¢ bucket has returned +7% per $1, historically.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.

DeadlineNot published.

Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.