← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6195991
Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: 1st Half O/U 0.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 59.0%, up 29.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability59.0%
Bid / ask / mid99.9¢ / 100.0¢ / 100.0¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h+28.95pt
Change 7d+47.45pt
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 100% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$65
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,647 / $0
Imbalance100% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score50.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 89 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.31
RSI (14, hourly)89.3
Realized vol 7d2.84pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.