← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6208097
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-11-07?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 40.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability40.0%
Bid / ask / mid39.0¢ / 40.0¢ / 39.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.5%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d+4.50pt
Longshot tax-9% historically (35-50¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 55/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 21% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$66,467
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8,272 / $12,544
Imbalance21% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score55.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 38 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.67
RSI (14, hourly)37.5
Realized vol 7d0.96pt
Change 1h+1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 9h.
Time to resolve0d 9h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 35-50¢ bucket has returned -9% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.