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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6208099

Will Atlas FC vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?

26.5% implied · bid 26.0¢ · ask 27.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 27.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability27.0%
Bid / ask / mid26.0¢ / 27.0¢ / 26.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.8%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-1.50pt
Longshot tax-24% historically (20-35¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 53/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 21% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,267
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,446 / $8,910
Imbalance21% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score52.7 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.60
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.15pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 9h.

Time to resolve0d 9h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 20-35¢ bucket has returned -24% per $1, historically.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.