← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6271785
Cincinnati vs. Houston: O/U 39.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 91.5%, up 17.5pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.
Implied probability91.5%
Bid / ask / mid88.0¢ / 95.0¢ / 91.5¢
Spread7.0¢ (7.7%)
Change 24h+17.50pt
Change 7d+41.50pt
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 16/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 46% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9 / $2,015
Imbalance46% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score16.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 66 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.45
RSI (14, hourly)65.7
Realized vol 7d4.07pt
Change 1h+6.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 7h.
Time to resolve0d 7h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.