← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6272562
Iowa vs. Northwestern: O/U 35.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 71.0%, down 3.5pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.
Implied probability71.0%
Bid / ask / mid68.0¢ / 74.0¢ / 71.0¢
Spread6.0¢ (8.5%)
Change 24h-3.50pt
Change 7d+21.00pt
Longshot tax+5% historically (65-80¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 29% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$72 / $898
Imbalance29% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score20.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 54 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.93
RSI (14, hourly)53.6
Realized vol 7d3.00pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 10h.
Time to resolve0d 10h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 65-80¢ bucket has returned +5% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.