← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6272564
Iowa vs. Northwestern: O/U 39.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 60.5%, down 5.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability60.5%
Bid / ask / mid59.0¢ / 62.0¢ / 60.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (5.0%)
Change 24h-5.00pt
Change 7d+10.50pt
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 39/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 37% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,196 / $4,514
Imbalance37% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score38.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.13
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d2.53pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 10h.
Time to resolve0d 10h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.