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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6273640

Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee: O/U 41.5

77.0% implied · bid 76.0¢ · ask 78.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 77.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability77.0%
Bid / ask / mid76.0¢ / 78.0¢ / 77.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.6%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d+27.00pt
Longshot tax+5% historically (65-80¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 29% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,257 / $5,709
Imbalance29% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 46 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.44
RSI (14, hourly)46.2
Realized vol 7d1.81pt
Change 1h-1.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 7h.

Time to resolve0d 7h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 65-80¢ bucket has returned +5% per $1, historically.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.