← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6276950
Fresno State vs. Utah State: O/U 37.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 65.5%, up 2.5pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.
Implied probability65.5%
Bid / ask / mid63.0¢ / 68.0¢ / 65.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (7.6%)
Change 24h+2.50pt
Change 7d+15.50pt
Longshot tax+5% historically (65-80¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 26/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 16% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,011 / $18
Imbalance16% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score26.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 33 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.06
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d4.40pt
Change 1h-1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 13h.
Time to resolve0d 13h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 65-80¢ bucket has returned +5% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.