← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6364523
Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of November 2?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 94.0%, up 17.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability94.0%
Bid / ask / mid93.0¢ / 95.0¢ / 94.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.1%)
Change 24h+17.50pt
Change 7d+70.00pt
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 40% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,778
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$624 / $1,896
Imbalance40% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 93 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.41
RSI (14, hourly)92.7
Realized vol 7d3.55pt
Change 1h+1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1d 15h.
Time to resolve1d 15h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (0)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.