← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6475104
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 7?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 99.9%, up 0.4pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability99.9%
Bid / ask / mid99.9¢ / 100.0¢ / 100.0¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h+0.40pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 97/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 100% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$32,665
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$95,573 / $0
Imbalance100% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score97.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.39
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.29pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 4h.
Time to resolve0d 4h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.