← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6490417
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 99.4%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.
Implied probability99.4%
Bid / ask / mid99.4¢ / 99.9¢ / 99.7¢
Spread0.5¢ (0.5%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 76/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 72% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$88,886
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$38,233 / $19,683
Imbalance72% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score76.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 90 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.83
RSI (14, hourly)90.0
Realized vol 7d4.03pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.