← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6507420
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in November?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 59.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability59.0%
Bid / ask / mid61.0¢ / 62.0¢ / 61.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.6%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 18% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$370
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,276 / $5,302
Imbalance18% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score50.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 43 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.47
RSI (14, hourly)42.9
Realized vol 7d2.75pt
Change 1h+1.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 23d 15h.
Time to resolve23d 15h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.