← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6507457
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in November?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 26.0%, up 3.5pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability26.0%
Bid / ask / mid28.0¢ / 32.0¢ / 30.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (13.3%)
Change 24h+3.50pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax-24% historically (20-35¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 31/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$659
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,146 / $1,472
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score31.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 61 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.10
RSI (14, hourly)60.6
Realized vol 7d1.51pt
Change 1h+2.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 23d 15h.
Time to resolve23d 15h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 20-35¢ bucket has returned -24% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.