← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6536920
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 8?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 99.2%, up 3.4pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability99.2%
Bid / ask / mid98.8¢ / 98.9¢ / 98.9¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h+3.35pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 61/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 76% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$95
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$13,785 / $9,994
Imbalance76% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score61.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 46 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.27
RSI (14, hourly)45.8
Realized vol 7d1.14pt
Change 1h-0.10pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1d 3h.
Time to resolve1d 3h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.