← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6536925
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on November 8?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 83.0%, up 31.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability83.0%
Bid / ask / mid82.0¢ / 83.0¢ / 82.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)
Change 24h+31.50pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+7% historically (80-90¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 58% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$2,176
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$203 / $1,323
Imbalance58% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 87 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.35
RSI (14, hourly)87.1
Realized vol 7d3.64pt
Change 1h-1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1d 3h.
Time to resolve1d 3h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 80-90¢ bucket has returned +7% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.