← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6594195
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 70.0%, up 13.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability70.0%
Bid / ask / mid67.0¢ / 70.0¢ / 68.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (4.4%)
Change 24h+13.00pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+5% historically (65-80¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 36/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,334
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$23 / $1,063
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 96 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.38
RSI (14, hourly)96.4
Realized vol 7d3.25pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 23d 15h.
Time to resolve23d 15h
Resolution sourceunknown
Rules riskmedium (35)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 65-80¢ bucket has returned +5% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.