← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6611853
2Q Spread: Fresno State (-0.5)
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 68.0%, up 23.5pt over 24h, on a 62.0¢ spread.
Implied probability68.0%
Bid / ask / mid37.0¢ / 99.0¢ / 68.0¢
Spread62.0¢ (91.2%)
Change 24h+23.50pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+5% historically (65-80¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 28% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance28% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 63 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.6σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.62
RSI (14, hourly)62.9
Realized vol 7d3.73pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 12h.
Time to resolve0d 12h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 65-80¢ bucket has returned +5% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.