← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6639464
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 10?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 97.9%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability97.9%
Bid / ask / mid97.1¢ / 98.1¢ / 97.6¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.0%)
Change 24h+3.05pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 62/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 52% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$205
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$10,638 / $23,772
Imbalance52% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score62.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 63 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.54
RSI (14, hourly)62.5
Realized vol 7d1.01pt
Change 1h-0.30pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 3d 3h.
Time to resolve3d 3h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.