← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6646159
Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.8M in October?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 18.6%, up 14.1pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.
Implied probability18.6%
Bid / ask / mid14.9¢ / 20.9¢ / 17.9¢
Spread6.0¢ (33.5%)
Change 24h+14.15pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax-42% historically (10-20¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$667
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$77 / $107
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score20.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 60 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.61
RSI (14, hourly)60.0
Realized vol 7d3.04pt
Change 1h-3.15pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 24d 1h.
Time to resolve24d 1h
Resolution sourceunknown
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 10-20¢ bucket has returned -42% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.