← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6656500
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 68.0%, up 30.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability68.0%
Bid / ask / mid66.0¢ / 68.0¢ / 67.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (3.0%)
Change 24h+30.50pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+5% historically (65-80¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,812
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$221 / $92
Imbalance10% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.75
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d4.46pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 110d 10h.
Time to resolve110d 10h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (30)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 65-80¢ bucket has returned +5% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.