← Explore · Polymarket · Market 667086

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

95.7% implied · bid 95.0¢ · ask 96.3¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 96.3%, up 1.2pt over 24h, on a 1.3¢ spread.

Implied probability96.3%

Bid / ask / mid95.0¢ / 96.3¢ / 95.7¢

Spread1.3¢ (1.4%)

Change 24h+1.20pt

Change 7d+2.55pt

Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 94/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 19% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,494

Volume qualityPro

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$27,543 / $348,429

Imbalance19% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score93.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 92 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.6σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.59

RSI (14, hourly)92.3

Realized vol 7d0.24pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 54d 15h.

Time to resolve54d 15h

Resolution sourceunknown

Rules riskmedium (45)

Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.

DeadlineNot published.

Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.