← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6716488
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on November 12?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 15.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability15.0%
Bid / ask / mid14.0¢ / 16.0¢ / 15.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (13.3%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax-42% historically (10-20¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,565
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$432 / $549
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 57 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.32
RSI (14, hourly)57.1
Realized vol 7d3.30pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 5d 3h.
Time to resolve5d 3h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 10-20¢ bucket has returned -42% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.