← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6719498
Ethereum Up or Down on November 7?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 76.0%, up 27.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability76.0%
Bid / ask / mid76.0¢ / 78.0¢ / 77.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.6%)
Change 24h+27.00pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+5% historically (65-80¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 16% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$45,681
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,765 / $7,504
Imbalance16% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 65 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.20
RSI (14, hourly)65.1
Realized vol 7d6.16pt
Change 1h-6.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 3h.
Time to resolve0d 3h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 65-80¢ bucket has returned +5% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.