← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6721890
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in November?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 62.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability62.0%
Bid / ask / mid60.0¢ / 61.0¢ / 60.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.7%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 68% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$388
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,472 / $2,425
Imbalance68% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 60 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.67
RSI (14, hourly)60.0
Realized vol 7d3.78pt
Change 1h-1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 23d 15h.
Time to resolve23d 15h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.