← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6739670
Cali: Completed Match: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 54.5%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 89.0¢ spread.
Implied probability54.5%
Bid / ask / mid10.0¢ / 99.0¢ / 54.5¢
Spread89.0¢ (163.3%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,380
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance8% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 47 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.64
RSI (14, hourly)47.4
Realized vol 7d1.31pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 5h.
Time to resolve6d 5h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (30)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.