← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6753095
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on November 13?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 97.2%, flat over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.
Implied probability97.2%
Bid / ask / mid96.5¢ / 97.4¢ / 97.0¢
Spread0.9¢ (0.9%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 58/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 50% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$5,134
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,891 / $20,237
Imbalance50% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score58.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 51 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.42
RSI (14, hourly)51.0
Realized vol 7d6.64pt
Change 1h-0.25pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 3h.
Time to resolve6d 3h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.