← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6753150
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 13?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 93.5%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability93.5%
Bid / ask / mid93.0¢ / 94.0¢ / 93.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 58/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 49% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$86
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$12,406 / $13,359
Imbalance49% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score57.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.19
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d1.68pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 3h.
Time to resolve6d 3h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.