← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6753574
Will XRP reach $1.20 in November?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 80.5%, flat over 24h, on a 9.0¢ spread.
Implied probability80.5%
Bid / ask / mid76.0¢ / 85.0¢ / 80.5¢
Spread9.0¢ (11.2%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+7% historically (80-90¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 5/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 68% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4 / $4
Imbalance68% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score5.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 38 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.20
RSI (14, hourly)38.5
Realized vol 7d7.19pt
Change 1h-4.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 23d 15h.
Time to resolve23d 15h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 80-90¢ bucket has returned +7% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.