← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6754137
Will XRP reach $1.20 November 2-8?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 55.0%, flat over 24h, on a 18.0¢ spread.
Implied probability55.0%
Bid / ask / mid14.0¢ / 32.0¢ / 23.0¢
Spread18.0¢ (78.3%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 25% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$8
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance25% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 35 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.04
RSI (14, hourly)34.9
Realized vol 7d8.27pt
Change 1h-17.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1d 15h.
Time to resolve1d 15h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.