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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6756483

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 205.5

89.5% implied · bid 87.0¢ · ask 92.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 89.5%, flat over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability89.5%
Bid / ask / mid87.0¢ / 92.0¢ / 89.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (5.6%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+7% historically (80-90¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 45% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$318 / $409
Imbalance45% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 98 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.37
RSI (14, hourly)97.6
Realized vol 7d6.20pt
Change 1h+0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 13h.

Time to resolve0d 13h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 80-90¢ bucket has returned +7% per $1, historically.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.