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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6756512

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 199.5

94.5% implied · bid 93.0¢ · ask 96.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 94.5%, flat over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability94.5%
Bid / ask / mid93.0¢ / 96.0¢ / 94.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (3.2%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 68% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$330 / $625
Imbalance68% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 94 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.58
RSI (14, hourly)94.1
Realized vol 7d6.26pt
Change 1h+5.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 13h.

Time to resolve0d 13h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.