← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6767439
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 56.0%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability56.0%
Bid / ask / mid54.0¢ / 55.0¢ / 54.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.8%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 45% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$18
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,257 / $2,740
Imbalance45% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.2σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.22
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.81pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1d 12h.
Time to resolve1d 12h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.