← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6771229
Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on November 7?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.7%, flat over 24h, on a 2.5¢ spread.
Implied probability1.7%
Bid / ask / mid2.2¢ / 4.7¢ / 3.5¢
Spread2.5¢ (72.5%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
Longshot taxHistory says buyers here lost ~60%
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 38/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$5,549
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$50 / $485
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score37.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.53pt
Change 1h+0.40pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 15h.
Time to resolve0d 15h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
History says buyers in the 0-10¢ bucket lost ~60% per $1, on average.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.