← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6771234
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on November 7?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.6%, flat over 24h, on a 1.9¢ spread.
Implied probability1.6%
Bid / ask / mid0.6¢ / 2.5¢ / 1.6¢
Spread1.9¢ (122.6%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
Longshot taxHistory says buyers here lost ~60%
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,903
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$40 / $291
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.26
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.33pt
Change 1h+0.20pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 15h.
Time to resolve0d 15h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
History says buyers in the 0-10¢ bucket lost ~60% per $1, on average.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.