← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6776997
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 72.0%, flat over 24h, on a 10.0¢ spread.
Implied probability72.0%
Bid / ask / mid65.0¢ / 75.0¢ / 70.0¢
Spread10.0¢ (14.3%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+5% historically (65-80¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 13% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$64
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $84
Imbalance13% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.64
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d7.40pt
Change 1h+12.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 15h.
Time to resolve0d 15h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 65-80¢ bucket has returned +5% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.