← Explore · Polymarket · Market 691340
AI bubble burst in 2026?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 7.7%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability7.7%
Bid / ask / mid7.6¢ / 7.7¢ / 7.6¢
Spread0.1¢ (1.3%)
Change 24h-0.15pt
Change 7d-1.75pt
Longshot taxHistory says buyers here lost ~60%
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 60/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$17,883
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8,114 / $12,123
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score59.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.85
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.79pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 54d 15h.
Time to resolve54d 15h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
History says buyers in the 0-10¢ bucket lost ~60% per $1, on average.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.