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US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 3170%October 3147%September 3028%September 2121%

$663K 24h vol

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

August 22100%August 25100%August 3193%September 1582%

$474K 24h vol

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

8%chance · Yes

$361K 24h vol

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?

August 310%

$311K 24h vol

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%chance · Yes

$237K 24h vol

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 3111%November 306%October 314%September 302%

$183K 24h vol

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

34%chance · Yes

$169K 24h vol

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

March 31, 202768%December 31, 202651%September 30, 202622%August 31, 20262%

$135K 24h vol

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot55%Benjamin Netanyahu28%Naftali Bennett6%Avigdor Lieberman5%

$75K 24h vol

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3126%October 3114%August 313%

$72K 24h vol

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

6%chance · Yes

$69K 24h vol

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 3118%October 3111%September 307%September 153%

$68K 24h vol

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

33%chance · Yes

$66K 24h vol

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

December 318%September 303%August 311%

$64K 24h vol

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

12%chance · Yes

$52K 24h vol

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

August 3197%September 3089%October 3181%December 3171%

$51K 24h vol

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

September 3013%September 158%August 312%

$46K 24h vol

Will Iran target Jordan by...?

September 3038%September 1527%August 318%

$41K 24h vol

Russia nuclear test by...?

December 31, 20266%September 30, 20262%

$37K 24h vol

Israel closes its airspace by...?

September 308%August 312%

$37K 24h vol

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

5%chance · Yes

$37K 24h vol

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202714%December 31, 20268%September 30, 20262%August 31, 20260%

$36K 24h vol

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 3128%October 3113%September 307%August 313%

$36K 24h vol

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

2%chance · Yes

$35K 24h vol

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Steve Witkoff45%Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf41%Jared Kushner36%Abbas Araghchi34%

$34K 24h vol

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Yulia Navalnaya8%Volodymyr Zelenskyy5%UNRWA4%Pope Leo XIV3%

$27K 24h vol

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China50%No meeting by December 3146%Russia0%United States0%

$27K 24h vol

US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

August 313%

$26K 24h vol

US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?

98%chance · Yes

$26K 24h vol

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

14%chance · Yes

$24K 24h vol

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%chance · Yes

$24K 24h vol

Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?

December 315%September 304%

$23K 24h vol

Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

No Return to Normal Traffic in 202669%December9%September8%November8%

$23K 24h vol

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

December 3145%October 3135%September 3019%August 315%

$23K 24h vol

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

September 3040%August 3111%

$22K 24h vol

Crude Oil all time high by...?

December 3113%September 302%

$19K 24h vol

Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by...?

December 3154%September 3011%

$19K 24h vol

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

7%chance · Yes

$18K 24h vol

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

December 3153%October 3119%September 305%August 311%

$18K 24h vol

Will Iran target a Arab country on...?

August 17100%August 3014%August 3111%August 298%

$17K 24h vol

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

No Meeting by September 3078%Switzerland10%Pakistan4%Qatar4%

$16K 24h vol

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 202725%December 3116%November 3010%October 317%

$15K 24h vol

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

1%chance · Yes

$15K 24h vol

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

December 3151%September 3011%

$15K 24h vol

Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by...?

December 3195%September 3085%

$14K 24h vol

US military action against Cuba by...?

December 3117%

$13K 24h vol

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

25%chance · Yes

$12K 24h vol

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Alibaba23%YMTC18%CATL18%DJI17%

$12K 24h vol