Explore · live

Prediction markets

The same markets Polymarket is showing right now, by category. Prices refresh live every 5 seconds. Click any market for the full metric panel.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%J.D. Vance37%Marco Rubio19%Ron DeSantis14%

$2.1M 24h vol

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Jon Ossoff27%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%Gavin Newsom12%Pete Buttigieg5%

$2.1M 24h vol

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance19%Jon Ossoff18%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12%Marco Rubio9%

$1.3M 24h vol

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen45%David Lisnard15%Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%Édouard Philippe11%

$759K 24h vol

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola (D)98%Sen. Dan Sullivan (R)2%Ann Diener0%Dustin Darden0%

$648K 24h vol

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot62%Benjamin Netanyahu22%Avigdor Lieberman7%Naftali Bennett2%

$495K 24h vol

New Zealand legislative election winner?

National Party99%Labour Party1%Green Party0%ACT New Zealand0%

$492K 24h vol

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Ulf Kristersson56%Magdalena Andersson41%Ebba Busch1%Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist0%

$337K 24h vol

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

Scott Colom (D)99%Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)1%

$232K 24h vol

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an69%Candidate A50%Candidate B50%Candidate C50%

$193K 24h vol

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo88%Person H50%Person I50%Person J50%

$112K 24h vol

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Person H50%Person I50%Person J50%Person K50%

$90K 24h vol

Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

Christopher Luxon85%Chris Hipkins11%Winston Peters0%Nicola Willis0%

$79K 24h vol

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

National + ACT + NZF73%Labour + Green13%Labour + Green + Maori8%Other3%

$54K 24h vol

NC-03 House Election Winner

Raymond Smith Jr. (D)80%Greg Murphy (R)19%

$49K 24h vol

Trump out as President before 2027?

3%chance · Yes

$39K 24h vol

Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)

4499%451%460%

$37K 24h vol

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei45%Axel Kicillof34%Sergio Massa16%Myriam Bregman3%

$36K 24h vol

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Democrats 14-16%87%Other46%Democrats 12-14%10%Democrats 16%+2%

$34K 24h vol

Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Talarico 12%+96%Person A50%Other50%Talarico 9-12%3%

$33K 24h vol

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Pete Buttigieg96%Andy Beshear91%Ron DeSantis89%Rahm Emanuel88%

$30K 24h vol

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Chuck Schumer86%Chris Van Hollen10%Brian Schatz4%John Thune0%

$30K 24h vol

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

1%chance · Yes

$30K 24h vol

Next Israeli government formed by...?

June 30, 202784%February 28, 202769%December 31, 202650%November 30, 202617%

$29K 24h vol

Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

M + KD + L + C41%S + MP + C + V18%S + MP + C9%S + MP7%

$29K 24h vol

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

Labour 0-5%96%National 0-5%2%Labour 15%+0%Labour 10-15%0%

$27K 24h vol

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

40-4499%35-391%30-341%45-490%

$25K 24h vol

Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

Gadi Eizenkot99%Other50%Person 150%Person 250%

$24K 24h vol

New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

Labour Party97%National Party1%Green Party0%ACT New Zealand0%

$24K 24h vol

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? (Lower Brackets)

175-17979%170-17421%Below 1700%180-1840%

$22K 24h vol

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

Green Party99%ACT New Zealand1%New Zealand First Party0%National Party0%

$21K 24h vol

CA-23 House Election Winner

Jay Obernolte (R)96%Tessa Lynn Hodge (D)3%

$21K 24h vol

2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?

Other64%Person A50%Person B50%Person C50%

$20K 24h vol

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

120-125m95%115-120m4%125-130m1%130m+1%

$19K 24h vol

AZ-02 House Election Winner

Eli Crane (R)99%Jonathan Nez (D)1%

$16K 24h vol

Mississippi Senate Election Margin of Victory

Colom 0.6-0.9%63%Person A50%Other50%Colom 0.3-0.6%23%

$14K 24h vol

AK-AL House Election Winner

Republican Party96%Bill Hill4%Democratic Party0%Jim McDermott0%

$14K 24h vol

Ljubljana Mayoral Election Winner

Zoran Janković60%Person D50%Person E50%Person F50%

$13K 24h vol

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Rahm Emanuel36%Pete Buttigieg17%Andy Beshear15%Ron DeSantis14%

$13K 24h vol

Spain General Election Winner

PP91%Party D50%Party E50%Party F50%

$12K 24h vol

Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner

Lai Jui-lung89%Candidate A50%Candidate B50%Candidate C50%

$11K 24h vol

Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

Centre Party (C)78%Green Party (MP)54%Christian Democrats (KD)48%Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)47%

$11K 24h vol

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

35-3998%40-441%<300%30-340%

$10K 24h vol

CO-04 House Election Winner

Eileen Laubacher (D)98%Lauren Boebert (R)2%

$10K 24h vol

Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit __ by December 31?

↑ 70%28%↓ 60%12%↓ 55%7%↑ 75%3%

$10K 24h vol

FL-27 House Election Winner

María Elvira Salazar (R)98%Eliott Rodriguez (D)2%

$9K 24h vol

Paraguay Presidential Election Winner

Person A50%Person B50%Person C50%Person D50%

$9K 24h vol

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

Person B50%Person C50%Person D50%Person E50%

$8K 24h vol