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GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 3197%December 1592%November 3085%November 1558%

$45K 24h vol

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 3197%November 3090%November 1971%November 1253%

$31K 24h vol

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Google76%Other50%Company A50%Company B50%

$30K 24h vol

AI bubble burst by...?

June 30, 202727%December 31, 20268%

$29K 24h vol

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Apple63%NVIDIA35%Microsoft1%Alphabet1%

$22K 24h vol

When will Gemini Carbon be released?

November 9–November 1581%November 16–November 2217%November 23–November 292%November 30–December 61%

$20K 24h vol

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Google64%Anthropic31%OpenAI4%xAI1%

$19K 24h vol

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

087%19%22%31%

$14K 24h vol

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 202923%December 31, 202817%December 31, 20278%

$12K 24h vol

GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...?

November 1236%No release by November 3015%November 269%November 168%

$12K 24h vol

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

1%chance · Yes

$11K 24h vol

Gemini Carbon released on...?

November 1042%November 1124%November 128%No release by November 303%

$11K 24h vol

Gemini Carbon released by...?

November 3099%December 3198%November 1582%November 1380%

$10K 24h vol

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

June 30, 2027?87%March 31, 202784%

$9K 24h vol

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Other50%Company A50%Company B50%Company C50%

$9K 24h vol

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Meta54%Other50%Company A50%Company B50%

$7K 24h vol

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

December 31, 202765%September 30, 202736%June 30, 202717%

$7K 24h vol

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

1500+94%1510+84%1520+73%1530+38%

$7K 24h vol

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 202612%

$7K 24h vol

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Other50%Company A50%Company B50%Company C50%

$6K 24h vol

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 202922%December 31, 202818%December 31, 20279%

$5K 24h vol

When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?

November 9–November 1557%November 16–November 2216%November 23–November 299%November 30–December 63%

$5K 24h vol

OpenRouter token usage week of November 2?

205T+94%195-205T6%185-195T0%175-185T0%

$5K 24h vol

Largest Company end of November 2026?

Apple71%Company H50%Company I50%Company J50%

$5K 24h vol

Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...?

November 3093%December 3193%November 2083%November 1382%

$5K 24h vol

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

November 1032%November 1224%November 1823%November 1121%

$5K 24h vol

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026? (Higher Strikes)

$10.00+46%$9.50-$10.0028%$9.00-$9.5026%$8.00-$8.507%

$5K 24h vol

Next Qwen Max Model (3.9+): Text Arena Debut?

1460+86%1480+73%1500+43%1520+9%

$5K 24h vol

Hy4: Text Arena Debut?

1440+78%1460+43%1480+19%1500+9%

$5K 24h vol

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 3110%November 308%

$5K 24h vol

Gemini Carbon: HLE-Diamond Debut?

50%+99%55%+98%60%+96%65%+85%

$4K 24h vol

2nd Largest Company end of November 2026?

NVIDIA69%Company D50%Company E50%Company F50%

$4K 24h vol

#1 Searched Actor on Google 2026?

Inde Navarrette69%Person 350%Person 450%Person 550%

$4K 24h vol

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

No solution by Dec 31, 202730%Yang-Mills21%Hodge Conjecture20%Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer16%

$4K 24h vol

Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by...?

June 3091%December 3178%

$3K 24h vol

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

71%chance · Yes

$3K 24h vol

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?

December 3147%November 3033%

$3K 24h vol

GPT Astra 6.1+: Text Arena Rank Debut?

Top 2026%Top 1017%Top 510%Top 12%

$3K 24h vol

3rd Largest Company end of November 2026?

Microsoft82%Company D50%Company E50%Company F50%

$3K 24h vol

GPT Astra 6.1+: Text Arena Debut?

1430+81%1440+74%1450+65%1460+37%

$3K 24h vol

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202756%December 31, 202612%

$2K 24h vol

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Other50%Company A50%Company B50%Company C50%

$2K 24h vol

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released on...?

No release by November 3039%November 1222%November 248%November 237%

$2K 24h vol

Which company has the best AI Agent end of January?

Anthropic59%Company A50%Company B50%Company C50%

$2K 24h vol

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

7%chance · Yes

$2K 24h vol

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

100%chance · Yes

$2K 24h vol

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of November?

$0.75+42%$0.70-$0.7526%$0.65-$0.7020%<$0.5512%

$2K 24h vol

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Unusual Machines18%OpenAI10%Eli Lilly9%Pfizer8%

$2K 24h vol