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Prediction markets

The same markets Polymarket is showing right now, by category. Prices refresh live every 5 seconds. Click any market for the full metric panel.

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen32%Édouard Philippe25%Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%Gabriel Attal4%

$636K 24h vol

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63%Flávio Bolsonaro35%Renan Santos3%Ronaldo Caiado1%

$529K 24h vol

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

8%chance · Yes

$361K 24h vol

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER)72%New People (NL)22%Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)5%Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)1%

$351K 24h vol

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%chance · Yes

$237K 24h vol

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson91%Ulf Kristersson10%Jimmie Åkesson0%Ebba Busch0%

$119K 24h vol

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot55%Benjamin Netanyahu28%Naftali Bennett6%Avigdor Lieberman5%

$75K 24h vol

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3126%October 3114%August 313%

$72K 24h vol

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

33%chance · Yes

$66K 24h vol

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

12%chance · Yes

$52K 24h vol

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

5%chance · Yes

$37K 24h vol

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202714%December 31, 20268%September 30, 20262%August 31, 20260%

$36K 24h vol

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Yulia Navalnaya8%Volodymyr Zelenskyy5%UNRWA4%Pope Leo XIV3%

$27K 24h vol

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China50%No meeting by December 3146%Russia0%United States0%

$27K 24h vol

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%chance · Yes

$24K 24h vol

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

7%chance · Yes

$18K 24h vol

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

United Russia (ER)99%New People (NL)1%Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)0%Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)0%

$14K 24h vol

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei82%No Head of State4%Reza Pahlavi3%Alireza Arafi2%

$12K 24h vol

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Mohammed bin Salman74%Vladimir Putin49%Kim Jong Un35%Aleksandr Lukashenko26%

$11K 24h vol

Berlin State Election Winner

Linke57%CDU26%AfD9%Grüne3%

$9K 24h vol

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Flávio Bolsonaro86%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva7%Renan Santos4%Ronaldo Caiado0%

$9K 24h vol

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

December 31, 202611%August 31, 20261%

$8K 24h vol

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

December 3135%September 308%

$8K 24h vol

Netanyahu out by...?

December 3149%

$6K 24h vol

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?

3-5%50%5-7%43%7%+8%<3%3%

$5K 24h vol

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

8%chance · Yes

$5K 24h vol

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

17%chance · Yes

$5K 24h vol

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

14%chance · Yes

$4K 24h vol

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

6%chance · Yes

$4K 24h vol

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

2%chance · Yes

$4K 24h vol

Quebec General Election Winner

PQ70%PLQ16%CAQ13%QS0%

$4K 24h vol

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

12%chance · Yes

$3K 24h vol

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

December 3127%September 307%August 311%

$3K 24h vol

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to Grüne or BSW?

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to Grüne or BSW?71%

$3K 24h vol

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?

1%chance · Yes

$3K 24h vol

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?

8-11%48%<8%33%11-14%14%14%+8%

$3K 24h vol

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Vote Share?

3-5%62%5-7%20%<3%17%7%+5%

$3K 24h vol

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

7%chance · Yes

$3K 24h vol

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Renan Santos54%Ronaldo Caiado40%Romeu Zema3%Flávio Bolsonaro1%

$3K 24h vol

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

December 31, 202611%

$3K 24h vol

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Vote Share?

42-45%41%39-42%35%45%+24%<39%7%

$2K 24h vol

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

8%chance · Yes

$2K 24h vol

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?

20-23%44%<20%21%26%+20%23-26%17%

$2K 24h vol

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

1%chance · Yes

$2K 24h vol

Macron out by...?

December 31, 20264%

$2K 24h vol

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

1%chance · Yes

$2K 24h vol

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

477%511%65%81%

$2K 24h vol

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Linke Vote Share?

11-14%44%8-11%33%14%+14%<8%7%

$2K 24h vol