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Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei83%Reza Pahlavi5%Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf3%No Head of State3%

$2.6M 24h vol

Which continent will win the World Cup?

Europe (UEFA)84%South America (CONMEBOL)18%Africa (CAF)0%

$549K 24h vol

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen27%Édouard Philippe27%Jean-Luc Mélenchon12%Jordan Bardella5%

$447K 24h vol

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62%Flávio Bolsonaro23%Renan Santos8%Jair Bolsonaro3%

$432K 24h vol

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%chance · Yes

$175K 24h vol

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202719%December 31, 20269%September 30, 20264%August 31, 20262%

$144K 24h vol

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

December 3111%

$81K 24h vol

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

9%chance · Yes

$46K 24h vol

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

AfD78%SPD20%CDU0%Grüne0%

$46K 24h vol

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

December 318%

$45K 24h vol

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot40%Benjamin Netanyahu39%Naftali Bennett13%Avigdor Lieberman3%

$43K 24h vol

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER)55%New People (NL)40%Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)4%Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)2%

$40K 24h vol

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

9%chance · Yes

$37K 24h vol

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

6%chance · Yes

$36K 24h vol

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

UNRWA12%Volodymyr Zelenskyy8%Yulia Navalnaya8%Pope Leo XIV5%

$34K 24h vol

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Andy Burnham99%Nigel Farage0%Angela Rayner0%No Next PM in 20260%

$29K 24h vol

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Flávio Bolsonaro79%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva9%Renan Santos8%Fernando Haddad1%

$25K 24h vol

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

6%chance · Yes

$20K 24h vol

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%chance · Yes

$17K 24h vol

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

AfD98%CDU2%The Greens0%SPD0%

$13K 24h vol

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

December 31, 202693%September 30, 202682%August 31, 202662%July 31, 202637%

$12K 24h vol

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

December 316%

$11K 24h vol

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

12%chance · Yes

$11K 24h vol

Will any country leave NATO by...?

December 31, 20264%

$11K 24h vol

Bank of Korea decision in July?

Increase89%No Change12%Decrease0%

$10K 24h vol

Quebec General Election Winner

PQ69%CAQ17%PLQ16%PCQ0%

$9K 24h vol

New pandemic in 2026?

6%chance · Yes

$7K 24h vol

Israeli parliament dissolved by...?

July 3181%July 157%

$6K 24h vol

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva96%Flavio Bolsonaro79%Renan Santos13%Ronaldo Caiado5%

$6K 24h vol

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Ireland85%Germany54%South Korea39%Portugal37%

$6K 24h vol

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

454%529%65%72%

$6K 24h vol

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

December 3131%July 313%

$5K 24h vol

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Renan Santos59%Ronaldo Caiado17%Flávio Bolsonaro6%Romeu Zema4%

$5K 24h vol

Iran Nuke before 2027?

6%chance · Yes

$5K 24h vol

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3118%

$4K 24h vol

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

10%chance · Yes

$4K 24h vol

Netanyahu out by...?

December 3131%July 311%

$4K 24h vol

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

22%chance · Yes

$4K 24h vol

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

No change97%25 bps increase2%50+ bps increase1%25 bps decrease0%

$4K 24h vol

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

12%chance · Yes

$3K 24h vol

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

10%chance · Yes

$3K 24h vol

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson75%Ulf Kristersson20%Jimmie Åkesson2%Ebba Busch0%

$2K 24h vol

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

December 31, 202610%

$2K 24h vol

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

United Russia (ER)96%New People (NL)2%Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)1%Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)0%

$2K 24h vol

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?

2%chance · Yes

$2K 24h vol

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

December 3161%September 3023%

$2K 24h vol

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland16%Lebanon12%Jordan10%Syria10%

$2K 24h vol

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202788%US3%Switzerland3%Qatar / UAE2%

$2K 24h vol