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Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen45%David Lisnard15%Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%Édouard Philippe11%

$759K 24h vol

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot62%Benjamin Netanyahu22%Avigdor Lieberman7%Naftali Bennett2%

$495K 24h vol

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Ulf Kristersson56%Magdalena Andersson41%Ebba Busch1%Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist0%

$337K 24h vol

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

11%chance · Yes

$251K 24h vol

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

2%chance · Yes

$105K 24h vol

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

3%chance · Yes

$65K 24h vol

France declares state of emergency by...?

December 313%

$56K 24h vol

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202710%March 31, 20276%December 31, 20262%

$40K 24h vol

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China89%No meeting by December 3111%United States1%Gulf country0%

$30K 24h vol

Next Israeli government formed by...?

June 30, 202784%February 28, 202769%December 31, 202650%November 30, 202617%

$29K 24h vol

Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

Gadi Eizenkot99%Other50%Person 150%Person 250%

$24K 24h vol

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202796%US2%Qatar / UAE1%Russia0%

$21K 24h vol

Netanyahu out by...?

June 30, 202770%March 31, 202757%December 3141%

$16K 24h vol

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

June 30, 20278%December 311%

$15K 24h vol

Iran Nuke before 2027?

4%chance · Yes

$12K 24h vol

Spain General Election Winner

PP91%Party D50%Party E50%Party F50%

$12K 24h vol

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

December 312%

$10K 24h vol

Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?

84%chance · Yes

$10K 24h vol

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3112%November 304%November 152%

$10K 24h vol

Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?

UAE96%No Talks by December 31, 20273%USA1%Turkey1%

$10K 24h vol

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

3%chance · Yes

$9K 24h vol

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

2%chance · Yes

$7K 24h vol

Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by...?

January 31, 202755%December 31, 202632%November 30, 202622%

$7K 24h vol

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202728%December 31, 20266%

$7K 24h vol

Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?

20%chance · Yes

$6K 24h vol

Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?

No meeting by December 31, 202777%United States3%Turkey3%Switzerland2%

$6K 24h vol

Israeli Knesset election annulled?

2%chance · Yes

$5K 24h vol

Miss Universe 2026: Third Place

Country 150%Country 250%Country 350%Country 450%

$5K 24h vol

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei91%No Head of State4%Alireza Arafi2%Reza Pahlavi1%

$4K 24h vol

Brazil presidential election annulled?

3%chance · Yes

$4K 24h vol

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Vladimir Putin88%Mohammed bin Salman81%King Mohammed VI13%Changpeng Zhao5%

$4K 24h vol

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

December 31, 202726%June 30, 202714%December 31, 20264%

$4K 24h vol

Bank of Japan Decision in December?

25 bps increase75%No change26%50+ bps increase1%25 bps decrease0%

$4K 24h vol

Spain General Election: Biscay Winner

Party A50%Party B50%Party C50%Party D50%

$4K 24h vol

Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?

Other61%No government formed28%L + Y + T + B4%Y + T + B + D3%

$4K 24h vol

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

Kuomintang (KMT)74%Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)25%Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)0%

$4K 24h vol

Who will receive the second mandate to form Israel's next government?

No second mandate54%Other50%Person 150%Person 250%

$4K 24h vol

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Yashar79%Yisrael Beiteinu77%Together74%The Democrats59%

$3K 24h vol

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

Person L50%Person M50%Person N50%Person O50%

$3K 24h vol

Miss Universe 2026: Second Place

Country 150%Country 250%Country 350%Country 450%

$3K 24h vol

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

Person H50%Person I50%Person J50%Person K50%

$3K 24h vol

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?

3%chance · Yes

$3K 24h vol

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

December 312%

$3K 24h vol

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

12%chance · Yes

$3K 24h vol

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December

No change96%25 bps increase4%25 bps decrease1%50+ bps increase1%

$3K 24h vol

Bank of Korea Decision in February?

25 bps increase67%No Change15%50+ bps increase6%25 bps decrease4%

$3K 24h vol

New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority?

47%chance · Yes

$2K 24h vol

Tusk out by December 31?

5%chance · Yes

$2K 24h vol